Showing posts with label emerging market definition. Show all posts
Showing posts with label emerging market definition. Show all posts

Friday, February 6, 2009

Emerging Markets Definition and World Market Groups

Apparently, Michael Dell and Vladimir Putin don’t agree on the definition of a developing country. In a surprising exchange at the World Economic Forum in Davos last week, Mr. Dell asked the Russian prime minister how the IT sector could help Russia make the best use of its talent and technology. Putin replied that Russia doesn’t need any help and is a technologically advanced country with strong science and math programs and a robust software industry.

Putin may see Russia as highly advanced, but technology executives like Dell, who closely monitor the country’s market potential, view it as firmly seated among the ranks of other developing countries. Russia’s per capita gross national income (GNI) rests at $14,400, similar to Argentina, Mexico and Libya, and, like other developing countries, it still suffers from neglected infrastructure, rising inflation and food costs, and a large disparity of wealth between urban and rural residents. Though the debate over emerging market definitions does not generally happen on such a big stage, it is commonly discussed by analysts and business managers, since there is no single accepted definition. For business leaders like Dell, the classification of individual countries can have a profound effect on investment decisions and business strategies. Depending on the product or service offering, target customer segment, or geographic focus, these analyses may include data on infrastructure availability, distribution of wealth, technology diffusion, education levels, business climate, and governance, to name a few.

Emerging market definitions that rely solely on broad economic indicators provide a useful high-level view of the market opportunity for technology companies (see Vital Wave Consulting’s Emerging Markets Definition and World Market Groups). However, the actual market for certain products and services is often determined by a range of non-traditional, hard-to-find data. While most technology companies are focusing heavily on Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC), there may be an opportunity for medium-sized enterprises (or product groups within larger corporations) to gain a competitive advantage in strategic, second-tier emerging markets which, if measured appropriately, may have comparably-sized addressable markets.

Friday, July 20, 2007

Emerging Markets Definition and World Market Groups

Vital Wave Consulting enables accelerated revenue growth in emerging markets. The company follows established World Bank economic benchmarks to define emerging markets as countries that have a gross national income (GNI) of $10,725 or less per capita.

Within emerging markets, Vital Wave Consulting distinguishes between three sub-groups according to market size (population) and economic attractiveness (GNI per capita in purchasing power parity terms).

  • Strategic Opportunity Markets are the largest and most economically attractive for a multinational corporation that is looking to grow its customer base. These markets have a population over 40 million, and strong real GDP growth. These markets also have a GNI per capita over $2000 per year in purchasing power parity (PPP).
  • Niche Opportunity Markets are countries with a population under 40 million that have average incomes over $2000 in PPP terms and strong real GDP growth. These markets provide multinational companies with opportunities to grow their markets on a smaller scale, or they may be “gateways” to larger nearby markets.
  • Long-term Opportunity Markets are the least attractive markets to a multinational corporation. These markets exhibit a low standard of living with a GNI per capita under $2,000 per year in PPP terms. In these countries, persistent poverty, corruption and political instability may be hampering economic growth. These countries may be viable markets in the long term with consistent political and economic reform.

(to view a larger version of this chart on the Vital Wave Consulting website click here).


Over 141 countries, representing 84% of the world’s population, meet these criteria. The proportion of worldwide technology expenditures by emerging-market countries is steadily increasing relative to mature markets. The ten largest emerging markets are expected to spend $558 billion on IT and telecommunications in 2009. By 2015, the combined GDP of emerging-market nations will surpass that of the top 20 developed economies.

Vital Wave Consulting provides strategic consulting, market research and business intelligence services and publications on emerging-market business opportunities. Clients include multinational corporations in the information technology and telecommunications industries. For more information, please visit www.vitalwaveconsulting.com, or call (650) 321-3313.