Undercut on the Low End: Rethinking Strategy in the Mobile Handset Market

The huge and rapidly growing Indian mobile handset market once seemed like a boon to developed-country manufacturers, but lately it is starting to cause them some sleepless nights.  Formerly the dominant player with over 70% of the market, Nokia has seen its share slide to 31.5%.  Samsung, meanwhile, recently lost the number-two spot to the relatively unknown Chinese brand G'Five, which now holds a 10.6% share to Samsung's 8.2%.  Although Nokia and Samsung still make up the largest share of the market, fierce competition from domestic and Chinese companies is quickly changing the market landscape.  Last year alone the number of Indian domestic handset manufacturers grew from five to 28. These companies have learned that they can score by addressing rapidly changing consumer preferences, such as longer battery life and feature-rich phones with low price points.

The shake up in the Indian handset market points to the challenges Western companies are having in maintaining a strong presence in emerging markets as new players offer value products in the low- and mid-markets with rock-bottom prices and novel features.  While not alone in struggling in the Indian market, Nokia stands out because it is being squeezed on the low and high ends, and in both emerging and developed markets.  In the global smartphone market, rising competition from such large players as Apple, Research in Motion, and Motorola has eaten away at Nokia's market share.  Commentators note that Nokia's market share loss is due in part to an insufficient focus on consumer needs and the emphasis consumers place on style and design, which rings similar to what is driving its loss in the Indian market - a lack of understanding the demand the Indian consumer has for cheaper, feature-rich products.  The fierce competition in markets such as India means that companies like Nokia need to find a way to stand out in the crowd, as they risk losing their competitive edge in low-cost device markets to homegrown emerging-market players.

One potential strategy is for multinational companies to move into solutions that require more than just the ability to manufacture cheaply, such as offering ancillary or end-to-end services that bind consumers and business customers more tightly to certain brands.  Nokia is pursuing this path with its Ovi suite of mobile services, with some success so far. Focusing on offerings that go beyond hardware can help shield companies from competition in low-end device categories by increasing customer loyalty and providing a new revenue stream.  Learning how to do this requires an understanding of evolving local preferences and trends, but it can help companies hold their own as competition intensifies.

Tablets, Tablets Everywhere: Time to Stop and Think

Each day seems to bring the announcement of a new tablet product by a major computer or mobile handset maker. Recent weeks have seen the launch or planned launch of new tablets by Research in Motion, Toshiba, HP and Dell. Since Apple's iPad was launched, the tablet has become the hottest form factor in hardware. Tablets were once a product category considered by some observers as a niche area, but manufacturers are now feeling the pressure to offer compelling functionality and sleek looks so as not to fall behind the market leader. This trend is not confined to developed markets. Lenovo, China's leading PC maker, announced but then recently delayed a "hybrid" unit that combines the functionality of a laptop and a tablet. The government of India sponsored the prototype production of a new $35 tablet that drew inevitable comparisons to the OLPC laptop. It has pleasantly surprised some reviewers with its performance, although considerable skepticism remains.

The flurry of activity in the tablet space recalls the explosion of interest in the netbook category several years ago. Netbooks took off in 2007 after the release of the ASUS Eee and the OLPC XO-1 on the premise that they were ideally suited to low-end consumers (especially in emerging markets) because of their lower price point and emphasis on accessing Internet content rather than hard drive-based content. In early 2009, ABI Research predicted that almost 35 million netbooks would be sold globally, with the total rising to 139 million by 2013. A year later, however, the tablet phenomenon happened, and netbook sales are now falling globally, which many are attributing to the rise of tablets such as the iPad. 

Whether tablets (or other factors) are responsible for the slowdown in netbook sales, these events illustrate the dangers of making long-term predictions about the growth of products or product categories based on current sales data. This risk is particularly relevant in emerging markets, where young, urban consumers often want to be seen using the most cutting-edge devices. Sales projections based on current or historical trends can provide useful context for managers, but firms would be wise to supplement these numbers with a critical analysis of the broader ecosystem and underlying consumer needs in the markets in which they operate. Market intelligence that capitalizes on rich qualitative information can yield important insights on anticipated behavioral trends for key market segments.